据路透社12月3日墨尔本报道，得益于在澳大利亚和巴布亚新几内亚计划开发的油气项目，周二，澳大利亚桑托斯公司将其2025年的产量预期上调20%。
该公司在一次战略简报会上表示，计划到2025年油气产量将跃升至1.2亿桶石油当量，高于此前预测的1亿桶石油当量。 根据目前的新预测，在此期间，产出将以每年8% 的速度增长。
为了刺激这一增长，作为澳大利亚第二大独立天然气生产商，桑托斯将把2020年的资本支出同比增加45% ，达到14.5亿美元。
这笔追加的支出将用于达尔文附近的Barossa 天然气项目、西澳大利亚附近的多拉多（Dorado）石油项目以及巴布亚新几内亚液化天然气(PNG LNG)工厂的扩建。
桑托斯首席执行官凯文?加拉格尔将这些项目与该公司价值185亿美元的格拉德斯通液化天然气项目(GLNG)进行了对比。GLNG项目在启动四年后遭受了巨额减记，且产能仅为77%。
加拉格尔在公司年度战略简报会后对路透表示：“与我们过去10年在澳大利亚开展的许多项目相比，这些项目的风险相对较低。”
这三个项目，加上年产量略有改善（达到620万吨）的GLNG项目，将使该公司2025年的产量提高到预期水平。
桑托斯还上调了对多拉多石油日产量的估计，从此前预计的5万桶上调至7.5万至10万桶，而多拉多为澳大利亚20多年来最大的石油发现。
该公司预计，多拉多的成本将在19亿美元至22亿美元之间，目标是在2021年上半年做出最终投资决定。
今年10月，桑托斯以13.9亿美元的价格收购了康菲石油公司在澳大利亚北部的业务，包括达尔文液化天然气工厂 (Darwin LNG)的运营权。
桑托斯表示，Barossa天然气田的开发将耗资47亿美元，能为达尔文LNG厂提供原料。
目前为该工厂供气的巴尤-恩丹(Bayu-Undan)天然气田将于2022年枯竭，而Barossa 将于2022年开始生产，两者之间大约有18个月的差距。不过，桑托斯正在寻找延长巴尤-恩丹使用寿命的方法。
加拉格尔表示： ”任何能够缩小这一差距的举措，对我们来说都将是非常有价值的。“他补充称，桑托斯应该能够在2020年初向市场提供最新信息。
詹晓晶 摘自 路透社
原文如下：
Australia's Santos raises forecast for 2025 production by 20%
Santos Ltd on Tuesday increased its forecast for 2025 production by 20% underpinned by oil and gas projects it plans to develop in Australia and Papua New Guinea.
The company plans to produce 120 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) a year by 2025, up from a forecast of 100 mmboe previously, it said in a strategy briefing. The new forecast now projects output will rise by 8% a year during the period.
To help spur that growth, Santos, Australia’s second-biggest independent gas producer, will ramp up capital spending in 2020 by 45% from this year to $1.45 billion.
The extra spending will be on its Barossa gas project off Darwin, where it aims to reach a go-ahead decision by March 2020, the Dorado oil project off Western Australia and an expansion of the PNG LNG (liquefied natural gas) plant.
Santos Chief Executive Kevin Gallagher contrasted those projects with the company’s $18.5 billion Gladstone LNG (GLNG) project that suffered hefty writedowns and is producing at only 77% of capacity four years after starting up.
“These projects are relatively low risk projects by comparison to a lot of the projects we all embarked on here in Australia across the last decade,” Gallagher told Reuters following the company’s annual strategy briefing.
The three projects plus a slight improvement in output at GLNG to 6.2 million tonnes a year will boost the company’s production to the 2025 forecast level.
Santos also raised its estimate for production from Dorado, the biggest Australian oil find in more than two decades, to between 75,000 and 100,000 barrels per day (bpd), up from an earlier estimate of 50,000 bpd.
It expects Dorado to cost between $1.9 billion and $2.2 billion, targeting a final investment decision in the first half of 2021.
In October, Santos acquired the northern Australian business of ConocoPhillips, including operatorship of Darwin LNG, in a $1.39 billion deal.
Santos said development of the Barossa gas field, which will feed the Darwin LNG plant, would cost $4.7 billion.
There is a roughly 18 month gap between when the Bayu-Undan gas field that currently feeds the plant is set to run dry in 2022 and when Barossa is due to start producing. However, Santos is looking for ways to extend the life of Bayu-Undan.
“Anything that can close that gap is going to be very value accretive to us,” Gallagher said, adding that Santos should be able to update the market on the opportunity early in 2020.
