据烃加工网站11月18日报道 美国能源信息署（EIA）在一份月度预测报告中称，美国7大页岩地层的原油产量预计将在12月增加约4.9万桶/日，达到创纪录的913万桶/日。

德克萨斯和新墨西哥二叠纪盆地最大的产量预计将上升5.7万桶/日，至473万桶/日，这是自今年七月以来的最小增幅，但抵消了其他地方的预计性下降。

数据显示，北达科他州和蒙大拿州巴克肯地区的产量预计将小幅上升9000桶/日，达到创纪录的151万桶/日。

与此同时，预计Eagle Ford和阿纳达科盆地的产量将下降。

二叠纪和巴肯的产量增长一直处于页岩热的前沿，页岩热帮助美国成为世界上最大的石油生产国，领先于沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯。

尽管如此，由于独立石油生产商削减了在新钻井和完井方面的支出，并更多地关注盈利增长，二叠纪的增长速度已经放缓。

预计投资者的不满将促使企业第二年控制支出，已公布预算的企业2020年资本支出将下降10%以上。

不过，各大巨头仍在加大支出，抵消了今年的一些影响。

另外，美国在大型页岩盆地的天然气产量预计在12月将增至创纪录的852亿立方英尺/日。

这只比11月份的预测上升了约3亿立方英尺/日，这是自1月份大型页岩盆地产量下降以来的最小月度增长。

自今年年初以来，随着各地区钻井平台数量的下降，增长正在放缓。

美国最大的页岩气地层阿巴拉契亚地区的产量预计将上升不到1亿立方英尺/日，达到创纪录的337亿立方英尺/日。

EIA表示，产油国共钻探了1148口井，为2017年12月以来最少，10月在最大的页岩盆地完成了1373口井，使已钻探但尚未完工的油井总数下降225口，至7642口，为2018年10月以来最低。

根据2013年12月的EIA数据，这是有记录以来的最大月度下降。

王磊 摘译自 烃加工

原文如下：

U.S. shale oil output to rise 49,000 bpd to record 9.1 Mbpd

U.S. crude oil output from seven major shale formations is expected to rise about 49,000 barrels per day in December to a record 9.13 million bpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a monthly forecast.

Output at the largest formation, the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico, is expected to rise 57,000 bpd to 4.73 million bpd, the smallest increase since July this year but offsetting projected declines elsewhere.

Output in North Dakota and Montana's Bakken region is expected to edge higher by 9,000 bpd to a record 1.51 million bpd, the data showed.

Meanwhile, production declines are forecast in the Eagle Ford and Anadarko basins.

Production increases in the Permian and Bakken have been at the forefront of a shale boom that has helped make the United States the biggest oil producer in the world, ahead of Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Still, the rate of growth in the Permian has slowed as independent oil producers cut spending on new drilling and completions and focus more on earnings growth.

Investor dissatisfaction is expected to spur companies to rein in spending for a second year, with capital expenditures among companies that have released budgets set to fall more than 10% in 2020.

Still, majors are ramping up spending, offseting some of the impact this year.

Separately, U.S. natural gas output in the big shale basins was projected to increase to a record 85.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in December.

That would only be up about 0.3 bcfd over the November forecast, its smallest monthly increase since January when production in the big shale basins declined.

Growth was slowing as the number of rigs in each region has declined since the start of the year.

Output in the Appalachia region, the biggest U.S. shale gas formation, was set to rise less than 0.1 bcfd to a record 33.7 bcfd.

EIA said producers drilled 1,148 wells, the least since December 2017, and completed 1,373 in the biggest shale basins in October, leaving total drilled but uncompleted (DUC) wells down 225 to 7,642, the lowest since October 2018.

That was the biggest monthly decline in DUCs on record, according to EIA data going back to December 2013.