据普氏能源资讯9月9日报道， 欧佩克月度调查报告显示，周一上午，亚洲迪拜原油期货价差扩大，在欧佩克严格遵守减产规定后，含硫原油有望迎来一个看涨的月份。
10月-11月迪拜原油期货价差周一上午11点在新加坡(格林威治时间03：00)的名义价差为93美分/桶，高于上周五晚间4:30新加坡(格林威治时间08：30)的85美分/桶。同样，11月-12月迪拜原油期货价差从上周五的81美分/桶扩大至84美分/桶。
普氏最新调查发现，欧佩克8月原油日产量小幅上升5万桶，至2993万桶，但仍在欧佩克、俄罗斯和其他盟国达成的120万桶/天减产协议内。
8月份的数据比欧佩克14个成员国1月份的日产量低93万桶，比去年同期低234万桶，这还不包括卡塔尔——欧佩克14个成员国控制着全球约三分之一的产能。但普氏数据显示，8月份产量的增长意味着，在11个欧佩克设定产量上限的成员国中，欧佩克的总体遵守率从7月份的117%降至103%。减产加上地缘政治因素，加剧了石油供应的紧张，尤其是高含硫原油的供应受到严重影响。
标普全球在本周的一份报告中表示，欧佩克减产以及地缘政治供应风险仍在支撑油价。调查发现，沙特阿拉伯8月石油日产量增至977万桶，油轮追踪数据显示其原油出口增加，且卫星图像显示库存增加。即使产量增加，沙特仍保持每日54万桶的产量，低于协定的每日1031万桶的配额。
普氏的数据是通过调查欧佩克和石油行业官员、交易员和分析师，以及审查专有航运和库存数据编制的。欧佩克的几个主要成员国及其盟友，包括俄罗斯，将于周四在阿布扎比召开联合石油公司(JMMC)会议，交易员将密切关注可能进一步减产的信号。
欧佩克、俄罗斯和其他9个产油国正在执行一项120万桶/天的减产协议，该协议将持续到2020年3月。
洪伟立 摘译自 普氏能源资讯
原文如下：
Dubai crude futures spreads widen amid mixed OPEC production survey results
Benchmark Dubai crude futures spreads widened mid-morning in Asia on Monday, with the sour crude complex poised for a bullish month following high compliance for OPEC production cuts, according to the S&P Global Platts monthly OPEC survey report.
The October/November Dubai futures spread was notionally assessed at 93 cents/b at 11 am in Singapore (0300 GMT) Monday, up from 85 cents/b assessed at 4:30 pm in Singapore (0830 GMT) Friday evening.
Similarly, the November/December Dubai futures spread widened to 84 cents/b, from 81 cents/b assessed on Friday.
OPEC's crude production edged 50,000 b/d higher in August to 29.93 million b/d, the latest Platts survey found, but still complied within its share of the 1.2 million b/d output cuts agreed between OPEC, Russia and other allies.
The August figure is 930,000 b/d lower than what OPEC's 14 members -- who collectively control some one-third of global production capacity -- pumped in January, and 2.34 million b/d lower on the year, not counting Qatar, which left the organization at the end of 2018.
But August's rise in output means OPEC's overall compliance fell to 103% among the 11 members with output caps, from 117% in July, according to Platts calculations.
The cuts, along with US sanctions on OPEC members Iran and Venezuela, have contributed to tightening supplies, particularly of heavier and sour crudes.
"OPEC plus cuts and geopolitical supply risks remain supportive" of prices, S&P Global Platts Analytics said in a note this week.
Saudi Arabia, which co-chairs the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee with Russia and the driving force behind the cut agreement, boosted its output to 9.77 million b/d in August, the survey found, as tanker tracking data showed a rise in its crude exports and satellite imagery suggested a build in inventories.
Even with the rise, the kingdom remains 540,000 b/d under its agreed quota of 10.31 million b/d.
The Platts OPEC figures are compiled by surveying OPEC and oil industry officials, traders and analysts, as well as reviewing proprietary shipping and inventories data.
Several key OPEC members and their allies, including Russia, will gather Thursday in Abu Dhabi for a JMMC meeting, where traders will be watching closely for signals on potentially deeper cuts.
OPEC, Russia and nine other oil producing countries are in the midst of a 1.2 million b/d production curb agreement that runs through March 2020.
