油价有望创2016年以来最大年度涨幅

据能源世界网12月31日首尔报道，在持续减产的支撑下，周二油价在今年最后一天微跌，但有望达到2016年以来的最大年度涨幅。

格林尼治标准时间1：58，3月份交付的布伦特原油期货下跌了11美分，跌幅0.2％，至每桶66.56美元，而美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)2月下跌11美分，跌幅0.2％，至每桶61.57美元。布伦特2月交货的周一收于68.44美元。

布伦特2019年上涨了约24%，WTI今年上涨了约36%。在欧佩克及其盟国保证减产的支持下，这两个基准都设定为三年来最大的年度收益。

AxiTrader首席亚洲市场策略师Stephen Innes表示，尽管中东紧张局势有所加剧，而且上周油价以看涨换油价的库存有所减少，但随着更大范围的市场似乎失去了节日期间的一些欢乐气氛，油价已跟随总体去风险趋势进入年底。

路透社周一的初步调查显示，展望未来，截至12月27日当周，美国原油库存预计将减少约320万桶，这将是连续第三周下跌。 截至12月20日当周，美国库存下降了550万桶。该数字将于周五公布。

Innes表示，贸易商还将密切关注EIA的美国10月原油产量数据，该数据定于周二晚些时候公布。预计该机构短期前景将显示出强劲的持续增长。

美国能源情报署本月初表示，美国有望在2020年首次成为年度石油净出口国，预计其石油产量将以每天93万桶的速度增长，至明年创纪录的1318万桶。

经纪商和分析师预计，在全球需求疲软的情况下，美国不断增长的供应将抵消欧佩克在2020年的削减，从而使油价保持在一定范围内。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下：

Oil prices edge down but set for biggest yearly rise since 2016

Oil prices edged lower on the final day of the year on Tuesday, but were on track for their biggest annual rise since 2016, supported by a ongoing supply cuts.

Brent crude futures for March delivery, the new front month contract, were down 11 cents, or 0.2 per cent, to 66.56 a barrel by 0158 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for February was down 11 cents, or 0.2 per cent, at $61.57 per barrel. Brent for February delivery closed on Monday at $68.44.

Brent has gained about 24 per cent in 2019 and WTI has risen roughly 36 per cent for the year. Both benchmarks are set for the biggest yearly gain in three years, backed by output cuts pledged by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies.

"Oil prices have followed the general de-risking drift into year-end despite a rise in Middle East tensions and last week's bullish-for-oil-price inventory draws as the broader markets appear to be losing some of that holiday cheer," said Stephen Innes, chief Asia market strategist at AxiTrader.

Looking ahead, U.S. crude inventories are expected to fall by about 3.2 million barrels in the week to Dec.27, heading for a third consecutive weekly fall, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday. U.S. stockpiles fell by 5.5 million barrels in the week to Dec. 20. The figures will be released on Friday.

Innes said traders would also closely watch the EIA's U.S. October crude production figures, set to come out later on Tuesday.

"It's expected to show robust continuous growth in the agency's short-term outlook," he said.

The United States is on track to become a net petroleum exporter on an annual basis for the first time in 2020, with its oil output expected to rise by 930,000 barrels per day (bpd) to a record 13.18 million bpd next year, the EIA said earlier this month.

Brokers and analysts expect the growing U.S. supplies to offset cuts from OPEC in 2020 amid weakening worldwide demand, keeping oil prices rangebound.