到2030年亚洲将引领全球乙烯产能的增长

据油气新闻12月31日消息称，领先数据分析公司GlobalData的数据显示，预2019年至2030年期间，亚洲将通过新建和扩建项目引领全球乙烯工业产能增长，份额约占47%。

该公司的报告《2019年下半年全球乙烯产能和资本支出展望——中国在计划和宣布的乙烯产能增加方面处于全球领先地位》显示，到2030年，亚洲新建和扩建项目的乙烯总产能预计将每年增加4995万吨(mtpa)。其中，4700万吨/年将来自新建项目，其余的296万吨/年将来自扩建项目。

GlobalData的石油和天然气分析师Dayanand Kharade解释道：“亚洲将主导全球乙烯市场，因为该地区正计划在中国和印度增加大量产能。这两个国家加在一起产能将增加约3597万吨/年，占该地区新增产能的72%。”

到2030年，中东地区的乙烯产能预计将成为全球第二高的地区。到2030年，该地区将占全球新建和扩建乙烯产能增加量的约2066万吨/年。在总产能中，2001万吨/年可能来自新建项目，其余来自扩建项目。

北美排在第三位，到2030年新增和扩建乙烯产能为1678万吨/年。其中，大多数乙烯产能的增加将来自新建项目。

曹海斌 摘译自 油气新闻

原文如下：

Asia to lead global ethylene capacity additions by 2030, says GlobalData

Asia is expected to lead the global ethylene industry capacity growth from new-build and expansion projects between 2019 and 2030, with 47% share, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

The company's report ‘H2 2019 Global Ethylene Capacity and Capital Expenditure Outlook – China Leads Globally in Terms of Planned and Announced Ethylene Capacity Additions' reveals that the total ethylene capacity of new-build and expansion projects in Asia is expected to add 49.95 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) by 2030. Of this capacity addition, 47.00 mtpa will come from new-build projects and the remaining 2.96 mtpa will come from expansion projects.

Dayanand Kharade, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, explains: “Asia will dominate the global ethylene market, as the region is coming up with the large capacity additions in China and India. Together, these two countries are set to add around 35.97 mtpa, accounting for 72% of the region's capacity additions.”

The Middle East is expected to have the second highest ethylene capacity additions globally by 2030. The region contributes about 20.66 mtpa of the total global new-build and expansion ethylene capacity additions by 2030. Of the total capacity, 20.01 mtpa is likely to come from new-build projects and the rest is from expansion projects.

North America stands third, with new-build and expansion ethylene capacity of 16.78 mtpa by 2030. Of these, most of the ethylene capacity additions will come from new-build projects.