据路透社12月2日伦敦报道，油价周一跳涨至每桶61美元上方，因有迹象显示欧佩克及其盟国可能在本周会议上同意进一步减产，且中国制造业活动增加暗示需求增强。
两名消息人士称，石油输出国组织及其盟国(包括俄罗斯)预计将在本周延长减产措施，并可能将减产幅度提高至少每天40万桶。
全球基准布伦特原油LCOc1在格林威治时间8点25分上涨1.20美元，至每桶61.69美元。美国西德克萨斯中质原油CLc1上涨1.05美元，至56.22美元。
三年来，欧佩克+组织一直在协调产量，以平衡市场和支撑油价。他们目前的减产120万桶/天的协议始于1月，将于2020年3月底到期。
石油经纪商PVM的Tamas Varga表示:“产油国之间任何相互不满的迹象，都会发出负面信号，并将对油价构成巨大的下行压力。我们认为这不太可能发生。”
欧佩克的部长们将于周四在维也纳举行会议，更广泛的欧佩克+组织将于周五召开会议。
上周五，布伦特原油和美国原油价格双双下跌，中美是全球最大的两个石油消费国。
石油价格周一也出现上涨，原因是中国经济措施提振了国内需求，使中国11月份制造业活动出人意料地恢复增长。这为石油需求前景提供了支撑。
但美国政府在周五发布的月度报告中称，美国页岩油产量持续增长，填补了欧佩克留下的缺口，9月产量增至创纪录的每日1,246万桶。
目前还不确定欧佩克+是否会在本周同意加大限制力度。该组织中的一些人对通过支持价格的措施来鼓励更多的美国生产持谨慎态度。
欧佩克消息人士称：“进一步减产可能推高油价，这将带来更多页岩油产量，但也无济于事。如果WTI升至每桶60美元，页岩油就会产出更多。”
裘寅 编译自 路透社
原文如下：
Oil jumps above $61 on talk of further OPEC+ supply curbs
Oil jumped above $61 a barrel on Monday, supported by hints that OPEC and its allies may agree to deepen output cuts at a meeting this week and as rising manufacturing activity in China suggested stronger demand.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia are expected to extend output cuts this week and could increase the size of the curb by at least 400,000 barrels per day, two sources said.
Brent crude LCOc1, the global benchmark, rose $1.20 to $61.69 a barrel by 0825 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 added $1.05 to $56.22.
The so-called OPEC+ group has coordinated output for three years to balance the market and support prices. Their current deal to cut supply by 1.2 million bpd that started in January expires at the end of March 2020.
“Any sign of discontent between the producers will send out negative signals and will put significant downward pressure on the oil price,” said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM. “We believe this is unlikely to happen.”
OPEC’s ministers will meet in Vienna on Thursday and the wider OPEC+ group will gather on Friday.
On Friday, Brent and U.S. crude both fell.United States and China are the world’s two biggest oil consumers.
Oil also rose on Monday due to an unexpected return to growth in Chinese factory activity in November as domestic demand picked up on Beijing’s accelerated stimulus measures. That is supportive of the oil demand outlook.
But U.S. production keeps rising led by shale oil, filling the gaps left by OPEC, with output in September increasing to a new record of 12.46 million bpd, the U.S. government said in a monthly report on Friday.
It is not certain that OPEC+ will agree this week to deepen its curbs. Some in the group are wary of encouraging more U.S. production by measures to support prices.
“A deeper cut could boost prices, which would bring on more shale output and not help,” the OPEC source said. “If WTI goes up to $60, there will be more shale.”
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