据今日油价网站2月20日消息 壳牌在周四公布的最新《2020年液化天然气展望》中表示，全球市场液化天然气供应增长将在今年晚些时候放缓，2021年将完成目前在建的最后一个新项目。

壳牌称，从今年下半年开始，亚洲将消化过剩供应，欧洲将不再是吸收美国和澳大利亚新项目供应增长的“平衡市场”。壳牌是石油巨头中液化天然气交易业务最强劲的公司之一。

壳牌周四在展望中表示：“欧洲吸收了2019年供应增长的大部分，因为价格具有竞争力的液化天然气推动了电力行业煤制气转换，取代了国内天然气产量和管道天然气进口的下降。”

壳牌指出，与前两年相比，2019年亚洲液化天然气进口量略有增长，原因是主要液化天然气进口国日本和韩国的冬季较为温和，核电发电量增加。

壳牌表示：“短期内，供应增长预计将放缓，因为最后一个在建的液化天然气项目将于2021年完工，恢复平衡”。

业内人士周五向路透社表示，亚洲液化天然气现货价格跌至历史新低，为2.70美元/每百万英热单位，较一周前下跌0.25美元。

壳牌天然气和新能源综合主管Maarten Wetselaar在一份声明中表示：“虽然我们今天看到了疲软的市场环境，我们预计平衡将恢复，由持续的需求增长和减少的新供应流，直到2020年中。”

从长期来看，壳牌预计到2040年，全球液化天然气需求将翻一番，达到7亿吨。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下：

Shell Sees LNG Market Returning To Balance By 2021

The supply growth of liquefied natural gas (LNG) on the global market is set to slow down later this year and in 2021 when the last of the new projects currently under construction will be completed, Shell said in its latest LNG Outlook 2020 published on Thursday.

From the second half of this year, Asia will absorb the excess supply and Europe will stop being the ‘balancing market’ to absorb the supply growth coming from new projects in the U.S. and Australia, according to Shell, which has one of the strongest LNG trading businesses among the oil majors.

“Europe absorbed the majority of 2019 supply growth as competitively-priced LNG furthered coal-to-gas switching in the power sector and replaced declining domestic gas production and pipeline gas imports,” Shell said in its outlook today.

LNG imports in Asia grew modestly in 2019 compared to the previous two years due to milder winters and increased electricity generation from nuclear power in the major LNG importers Japan and South Korea, Shell noted.

“In the short-term, supply growth is expected to slow down as the last of the new LNG projects under construction will be completed by 2021, restoring equilibrium,” the supermajor said.

Last week, spot LNG prices in Asia plunged to a new all-time low of $2.70 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), down by $0.25 from a week earlier, industry sources told Reuters on Friday.

“While we see weak market conditions today due to record new supply coming in, two successive mild winters， we expect equilibrium to return, driven by a combination of continued demand growth and reduction in new supply coming on-stream until the mid-2020s,” Maarten Wetselaar, Integrated Gas and New Energies Director at Shell, said in a statement.

In the longer term, Shell expects global LNG demand to double to 700 million tons by 2040.