据美国钻井网站2020年2月13日休斯顿报道，美国能源信息署(EIA) 2月发布的短期能源展望(STEO)报告显示，EIA已下调了其对今年布伦特原油价格的预测。

EIA在 STEO中对今年布伦特原油现货均价的预测是每桶61.25美元。这标志着布伦特原油现货均价比1月份发布的布伦特原油每桶64.83美元均价预测有了显著下降。

EIA在2月份发布的布伦特原油现货价格季度平均预测如下：

第一季度——每桶58.59美元

第二季度——每桶57.69美元

第三季度——每桶63.62美元

第四季度——每桶65.00美元

EIA在1月份发布的布伦特原油现货季度平均预测如下：

第一季度——每桶65.98美元

第二季度——每桶63.38美元

第三季度——每桶65.00美元

第四季度——每桶65.00美元

EIA 2月份发布的数据显示，EIA目前预计，今年全球石油和液体燃料的日需求量将增加100万桶。在其1月份发布的报告中，预计今年这一需求将日增130万桶。

EIA预测明年布伦特原油现货均价预计在1月和2月将达到每桶67.53美元。

EIA Cuts 2020 Oil Price Forecast

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has cut its Brent oil price forecast for 2020, its February short-term energy outlook (STEO) report has revealed.

The EIA’s Brent spot average forecast for 2020 is now $61.25 per barrel. This marks a notable drop from the 2020 Brent spot average forecast posted in its January STEO, which stood at $64.83 per barrel.

In its February STEO, the EIA’s quarterly Brent spot average forecast for the year is as follows:

First quarter - $58.59 per barrel

Second quarter - $57.69 per barrel

Third quarter - $63.62 per barrel

Fourth quarter - $65.00 per barrel

The EIA’s quarterly Brent spot average forecast in its January STEO read as follows:

First quarter - $65.98 per barrel

Second quarter - $63.38 per barrel

Third quarter - $65.00 per barrel

Fourth quarter - $65.00 per barrel

The EIA now expects global petroleum and liquid fuels demand will rise by 1 million barrels per day in 2020, its February STEO showed. In its January STEO, this demand was forecasted to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day in 2020.

In 2021, the Brent spot average was forecasted to hit $67.53 per barrel in both the January and February EIA STEOs.