据石油新闻莫斯科报道,俄罗斯10月26日批准了旨在2035年前开发俄罗斯北极地区确保国家安全的战略。
尽管人们越来越担心气候变化对北极地区的影响,俄罗斯仍然将北极地区视为一个重要的油气开发重点。
这个战略承认,北极地区的升温速度比全球平均升温速度快2-2.5倍,并指出这对经济和环境带来了机遇和风险。机遇包括进一步开发俄罗斯北极海上地区的油气储量,俄罗斯北极地区蕴藏着超过85.1万亿立方米的天然气,以及173亿吨的原油和凝析油。这个战略包括将北极地区在俄罗斯原油和凝析油总产量中的比重从2018年的17.3%提高到2024年的20%、2030年的23%和2035年的26%。
俄罗斯计划将北极地区的液化天然气产量从2018年的860万吨增加到2024年的4300万吨,2030年增加到6400万吨,2035年增加到9100万吨。
北极地区天然气产量在俄罗斯天然气总产量中所占的比重将不断下降,从2018年的82.7%降至2024年的82%、2030年的81%和2035年的79%。
根据2035年战略,俄罗斯还计划进一步开发北海航线,由于气温上升,这条航线将成为一个更重要的全球运输走廊。
俄罗斯计划通过这条途经北极水域的航线增加石油运输量,从2019年的3150万吨增加到2030年的9000万吨和2031年的1.3亿吨。
这个战略设想国家支持对能源、交通和基础设施以及石油和天然气技术的投资。
李峻 编译自 石油新闻
原文如下:
Russia approves Arctic strategy up to 2035
Russia Oct. 26 approved the strategy for developing Russia's Arctic zone and ensuring national security up to 2035.
Russia continues to see the Arctic as a key development priority, despite growing concerns over the impact of climate change on the region.
The strategy acknowledged that temperatures in the region are warming 2-2.5 times faster than the global average, and states that this poses both opportunities and risks for the economy and environment.
Opportunities include further development of hydrocarbons reserves in Russia's Arctic offshore zone, which contains over 85.1 trillion cubic meters of natural gas, and 17.3 billion mt of crude and condensate. The strategy includes plans to increase the Arctic's role in overall Russian crude and condensate production from 17.3% in 2018, to 20% in 2024, 23% in 2030, and 26% in 2035.
Russia plans to increase LNG production in the region from 8.6 million mt in 2018, to 43 million mt in 2024, 64 million mt in 2030 and 91 million mt in 2035.
Arctic production is set to play a decreasing role in national natural gas output, falling from 82.7% in 2018, to 82% in 2024, 81% in 2030, and 79% in 2035.
Russia also plans further development of the Northern Sea Route, which is set to become a more significant global transport corridor as temperatures rise.
Russia plans to increase shipments via the route, which runs through Arctic waters, from 31.5 million mt in 2019, to 90 million mt in 2030 and 130 million mt in 2031.
The strategy envisages state support for investment in energy, transport and infrastructure as well as oil and gas technology.