据世界石油1月15日报道,随着更严格的资本约束削减了美国最大页岩油田的钻井平台,今年美国石油产量增长可能会减速50%以上。
根据美国能源信息署(EIA)数据,美国原油日产量将增加40万桶,这至少是2017年以来的最低增幅。预计2020年日产量将增加100多万桶。
经济放缓将由二叠纪盆地(美国的页岩油发动机)的紧缩政策推动。在此之前,生产商的股票因产出失控而遭受重创,投资者利益受损。先锋自然资源公司(Pioneer Natural Resources Co.)和百年资源开发公司(Centennial Resource Development Inc.)等公司的负责人表示,经济可能会下滑。
EIA并不是唯一一个预计经济增长将放缓的机构。总部设在巴黎的国际能源信息署也发布了类似的预测。
生产增长放缓可能会破坏美国最近向能源净出口国的转变。10月份,该国向海外出口的原油和成品油数量超过了进口量,这是该国连续第二个月成为石油净出口国。
洪伟立 摘译自 世界石油
原文如下:
Shale discipline could slow U.S. oil output growth by 50% this year
U.S. oil output growth could decelerate by more than 50% next year as greater capital discipline cuts drilling rigs in America’s largest shale patch.
Production is set to expand by 400,000 barrels a day, the weakest growth since at least 2017, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Output is seen increasing by a little over 1 million barrels a day this year.
The slowdown will be driven by austerity in the Permian Basin, America’s shale-oil engine. That’s after shares of producers were hammered for unbridled output coming at the expense of investor returns. The heads of companies including Pioneer Natural Resources Co. and Centennial Resource Development Inc. have warned of a downturn.
The EIA isn’t alone is expecting a slowdown in growth. The Paris-based International Energy Agency has issued similar forecasts.
Slower production growth could undermine America’s recent transition to being a net energy exporter. In October, the nation sent more crude and refined products abroad than it imported, marking the second consecutive month it was a net petroleum exporter.