据道琼斯伦敦2月14日消息，英国石油(BP)周四表示，未来20年全球能源供应增长的绝大部分将来自可再生能源和天然气，但仍需要对石油探勘和生产进行大规模投资才能满足2040年时的原油需求。

BP在年度能源展望报告中将未来的主要假设情况设定为包括风力、太阳能、地热、生物质和生物燃料在内的可再生能源和天然气在2040年前将占全球能源增长的85%。

在报告的假设情况中，可再生能源每年将增长7.1%，到2040年占主要能源的比例将从目前的4%增至15%。天然气则预计每年增长1.7%，在2040年超越煤炭成为全球第二大能源来源，并将和原油争夺最大能源头衔。

庞晓华 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

BP: Renewables and Natural Gas to Dominate Energy Growth by 2040

The vast majority of global energy supply growth is expected to come from renewables and natural gas over the next two decades, but steep investment in oil exploration and production will be needed to meet crude demand in 2040, BP PLC said Thursday.

In its annual energy outlook report, the British oil-and-gas giant outlined as its central scenario a future in which renewable energy sources -- including wind, solar, geothermal, biomass and biofuels -- and natural gas will together account for 85% of the world's energy growth in the run up to 2040.

As part of the scenario, renewable energy is projected to grow at a rate of 7.1% a year, with its share in primary energy increasing to 15% by 2040, compared with just 4% today. Natural gas would grow by 1.7% a year, surpassing coal as the world's second largest source of global energy and rivaling oil for the top spot by the end of the outlook period.